The specialist economics partner for Nigeria's refining renaissance
From sub-scale modular units (10–30 KBPD) to full commercial refineries, ECP delivers the financial modelling, commercial structuring, and regulatory economics that investors, developers, and governments need to make sound refining decisions in Nigeria's evolving downstream landscape.
Modular & Commercial Refinery — Full Capability
Project Economics & Investment Advisory
Comprehensive financial modelling and investment analysis for greenfield and brownfield modular refinery projects — from feasibility through lender due diligence.
Feedstock Strategy & Crude Supply Advisory
End-to-end crude sourcing strategy, supply contract economics, and feedstock optimisation to maximise refinery margins and supply security.
Product Slate & Market Optimisation
Data-driven product slate modelling and market analysis to optimise output mix, pricing strategy, and demand alignment across domestic and export markets.
Commercial Strategy & Offtake Structuring
Structuring offtake agreements, pricing frameworks, and commercial risk allocation to underpin bankable refinery project finance.
Regulatory, Fiscal & Policy Advisory
Navigating Nigeria's complex regulatory and fiscal landscape — from PIA implementation to incentive frameworks and environmental compliance cost modelling.
Crude Supply & Refinery Feedstock Strategy
Dedicated crude supply strategy covering domestic obligations, pricing formulas, FX structures, and supply disruption risk for refinery feedstock security.
Infrastructure & Logistics Economics
Economic modelling of the full logistics chain — from pipeline tariffs and marine terminals to depot storage and refinery evacuation bottleneck studies.
Market Intelligence & Strategic Studies
In-depth strategic research on African refining capacity, import dependency, competitive landscape, and national refining roadmaps.
Dispute Support & Forensic Economics
Independent economic analysis for refinery-related disputes — from margin calculations and transfer pricing to loss of profit quantification and arbitration support.
Public Sector & NOC Advisory
Strategic advisory to governments, national oil companies, and regulators on refinery policy, portfolio optimisation, and privatisation economics.









